01 · Markets
Price, noise & the Fed's pause
The noise: millions of ticks, headlines, and half-beliefs repricing every second.
Markets are the densest signal-extraction problem there is. I build machine-learning strategies that listen for structure under the churn — and deploy them live, where the system grades your hypothesis without mercy.
Intraday ML strategy · AR 194% · Sharpe 4.32 · FedAnalysis: every Fed word, tone & gesture as data
02 · Venture Ecosystems
Real paradigm or expensive echo?
The noise: thousands of startups all claiming to be the next wave.
Hype is a signal-jamming device. Using Anthropic's MCP release as a natural experiment across 4,532 AI startups, I test which "agent" ventures are a genuinely new paradigm — and which are the Gen-AI wave wearing a new name.
Beyond the Hype · Academy of Management 2026
03 · Organizations
Where discretion actually lives
The noise: org charts, job titles, and what firms say they do.
Inside algorithmic-trading desks, the real system is invisible: who overrides the model, when, and why. Ethnography is signal-finding at human scale — sitting close enough to see where judgment hides in the loop.
Human–algorithm interaction for analytical creativity · PhD dissertation
04 · Language
What words give away
The noise: everything everyone says; most of it strategic.
Text and speech leak intent. I study what persuades when the persuader is human versus AI, and what a central banker's phrasing reveals before the market has finished parsing the sentence.
Comparing Human & AI Persuaders · AOM 2026
05 · Sport
Ninety minutes of chaos
The noise: form, luck, narrative, and a bouncing ball.
Football is a beautifully bounded complex system — adversarial, time-limited, endlessly surprising. BallSignal turns World Cup 2026 into a prediction problem: models against chaos, with the scoreline as referee.
BallSignal · 93% accuracy on high-confidence picks
06 · Communities
How seven thousand people self-organize
The noise: feeds, channels, and infinite content competing for attention.
Growing LLM+ from five people to 7,000+ was an experiment in network signal: which formats, rituals and roles make a research community compound rather than churn. The answer is structure — fellowships, cafés, showcases.
LLM+ · 5 → 7,000+ across 30+ universities